Production is estimated to have fallen sharply to 115 kt due to lower area seeded and yields. Production of each of the three major types of mustard (yellow, brown and oriental) is expected to decrease. However, total supply is forecast to fall by only 18% due to higher carry-in stocks. Exports are expected to be similar to last year at 125 kt and, as of August and September, the US and the EU are the top two markets. Carry-out stocks are forecast to fall and, as a result, the average price is forecast to be sharply higher than in 2016-17