Poor rainfall, low reservoir levels to hit rabi output.

Poor rainfall and scanty water levels in reservoirs at major growing regions are likely to hit production of rabi crops this year. The country’s crucial southwest monsoon season ended with a deficit of 9%, missing the India Meteorological Department’s prediction by a huge margin. The country received 804.0 mm rainfall during the Jun-Sep monsoon season, against the normal weighted average of 887.5 mm. Poor rains lead to inadequate soil moisture, which is a must for sowing of rabi crops. Reservoir levels are also important for the irrigation-dependent rabi season that starts October. While the reservoir storage in most states is “healthy”, there is a shortage in Gujarat, West Bengal and Maharashtra due to poor rains. Deficient reservoirs raise some concern for the rabi crop because these three states together contribute 53% of the rabi production of foodgrains and oilseeds. However, the overall crop output may be higher as “kharif production estimates are healthy.