For 2018-19, Canadian durum production increased by 16% from 2017-18 to 5.745 million tonnes (Mt), according to Statistics Canada (STC), as a 19% increase in seeded area was partly offset by lower yields. The final production estimate was 0.39 Mt higher than the previous estimate. Saskatchewan accounted for 80% of the total production, Alberta for 19.7%, and Manitoba for 0.3%.

Total supply increased by 6%, as the higher production was partly offset by lower carry-in stocks. Exports are forecast to decrease by 4%. The latest export forecast is 0.1 Mt lower than in AAFC’s November report based on slower than expected exports for the first four months of the crop year and expectations that the low prices will result in higher producer carry-out stocks and significantly lower seeded area for 2019-20.