Lentil 2025–26 at Weather Risk

The 2025–26 global red lentil supply outlook remains balanced but weather-dependent.

Australia may produce 1.5–1.69 mln tonnes, with potential exports of 1.5–1.6 mln t, though rainfall during July–August is critical.

Canada’s output is forecast lower at 1.54 mln tonnes, despite a slight rise in area. Dry conditions in late May have affected yield prospects.

Russia, Kazakhstan, and Turkey may fill some gaps, though Turkey faces a 16% drop in output and may import up to 550,000 tonnes.

India’s domestic output is likely 1.0–1.2 mln tonnes, against official estimates of 1.8 mln t, but existing stocks (~1 mln t) can support short-term demand. A 10% import duty remains in place till at least Oct–Nov, limiting overseas buying.