NCDEX cotton oilcake at 4-month low on weak demand.

Futures contracts of cottonseed oilcake hit a four-month low of 1,998 rupees per 100 kg, tracking a fall in physical markets. The most active May contract of cottonseed oilcake on the NCDEX traded at 2,022 rupees per 100 kg, down 1.75% from the previous close. In Akola, the benchmark market in Maharashtra, cottonseed oilcake was sold at 2,070-2,080 rupees per 100 kg, while in Kadi, Gujarat it was quoted at 2,050-2,060 rupees, both down 30 rupees from previous close. Weakness in cotton contracts on the MCX also weighed on prices of cottonseed oilcake, a derivative of cotton.

MCX cotton down as arrivals up, output seen higher.

Futures contracts of cotton on the MCX inched lower today because of a rise in arrivals in wholesale markets and expectations of higher output in 2017-18 (Oct-Sep) On MCX, the April contract of cotton was at 20,550 rupees per bale (1bale = 170 kg), down 0.9% from previous close. Arrivals of cotton in major spot markets across the country were pegged at 88,800 bales on Friday, higher than 82,800 bales on Thursday. According to the International Cotton Advisory Committee, cotton output in India, the largest producer, will likely rise 2% on year to 5.9 million tonne in 2017-18. Cotton futures on NCDEX are expected to trade mixed, with a negative bias during the week.

PHL rice output likely grew 12.8% in Qtl.

The country rice production in the first quarter may have expanded by 12.8 percent to 4.44 million metric tons (MMT), from 3.93 MMT recorded a year ago. Palay production for January-March 2017 may reach 4.44 MMT, 2.1 percent below the January 2017 round forecast of 4.53 MMT, but 12.8 percent higher than the previous year’s output of 3.93 MMT. The projected palay production in the first quarter of the year is higher than the actual first quarter output of 4.36 MMT recorded in 2015. In the January round of its survey, titled “Rice and Corn Situation Outlook”, the PSA said the probable increase in first quarter rice output is due to the expansion in harvest area. The continuous and heavy rainfall and strong winds that were experienced during the vegetative and reproductive stages of the crop in Capiz, South Cotabato, Leyte, Compostela Valley, Aurora, Aklan, Surigao Norte and Negros Oriental may cause production of these provinces to go down. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said harvest area in the January-to-March period may contract to 1.15 million hectares, from 1.16 million hectares, or by 0.9 percent. Also, yield per hectare may decline to 3.85 metric tons (MT), from 3.92 MT.

High supply drag down wheat prices in Indore, Delhi.

Wheat prices fell in the benchmark markets of Indore, Madhya Pradesh and Delhi due to abundant supply. In Indore, wheat was sold down 50 rupees from previous close. while in Delhi, prices were down 20 rupees at previous close. Around 600,000 bags (1bag=100kg) of wheat arrived in Madhya Pradesh up from 450,000 bags. In Indore arrivals were at 40,000 bags. In Delhi, around 30,000 bags arrived. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana, almost double the number of bags that arrived. In Kota’s wholesale market in Rajasthan, prices fell by 5-10 rupees due to high arrivals in markets. Supplies in Rajasthan are already at their peak and about 150,000 bags of wheat arrive in the market daily wheat prices fell also on the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange.